Charts: Consumer Trust in Companies, Employers

Consumers are more skeptical than executives realize. That’s according to PwC’s 2024 Trust Survey and report titled “How to earn customer trust in your sector.” PwC surveyed 548 business executives, 2,515 consumers, and 2,039 employees in the United States across various industries.

The data reveals an opportunity for companies to strengthen trust with key stakeholders. Per the report, businesses that assess their trust levels among employees, consumers, investors, and other stakeholders can gain a significant advantage over competitors.

The trust gap is growing because the number of executives who believe they are highly trusted is increasing more quickly than consumer confidence in these industries.

Employees emphasize that data protection is essential for gaining their trust. They rank it as “highly important,” along with fair compensation, respectful treatment, ethical conduct, and executives who actively listen.

In addition, when employees feel a strong sense of trust, over half (52%) report putting in extra effort at work, positively affecting daily operations. Trust also plays a role in attracting talent, as 60% of employees say they have recommended their employer to friends and family.

Moreover, the data shows that consumer markets and industrial product sectors have the biggest trust gap between executives and employees.

Top Resale Sites from Consumer Brands

Approximately 300 million pairs of shoes are thrown away annually in the United States alone. Many could be reused or recycled. Brands are catching on to the importance of becoming sustainable and circular, launching recycling programs to extend the life of their products and keeping them out of landfills.

Here is a list of branded resale shops. Most launched during this recommerce boom of the last few years, though a few have been around longer. There are trade-in programs, peer-to-peer marketplaces, white-glove sustainability programs for luxury items, and more. Many are parts of broader sustainability initiatives from eco-conscious companies.

To follow the recommerce boom, check out ThreadUp’s The Recommerce 100, which ranks resale shops by the number of monthly product listings.

Branded Resale Sites

RE/AE is the popular resale site for American Eagle. The site is powered by ThredUp, a resale-as-a-service platform. American Eagle teamed up with Snapchat on Earth Day 2023 (April 22) for a shoppable AR Lens showcasing select styles from a specially curated inaugural 200-piece RE/AE collection. RE/AE lists nearly 40,000 resale products, enabling American Eagle to recirculate over 1 million items.

Home page of RE/AE by American Eagle

RE/AE by American Eagle

Renew is the resale shop for women’s apparel brand Eileen Fisher. The program began in 2009 as an opportunity for employees to return their unwanted clothes. It then launched nationwide in 2013. Customers can bring Eileen Fisher clothes back to any U.S. Eileen Fisher or Renew store and receive $5 in Renew Rewards for each piece, no matter the condition. Quality items are cleaned and resold; the rest are recycled or turned into art.

ReGear is the trade-in and resale hub of Arc’teryx, an outdoor apparel and equipment company. ReGear inspects, repairs, and rejuvenates used Arc’teryx gear before making it available for sale through the online store. ReGear is just one part of ReBird, the home for Arc’teryx circularity initiatives. The other parts are ReCare, with care and repair tools to make gear last, and ReCut, a program for creating new products from recycled materials.

Worn Wear is a set of tools from Patagonia that extends the use of its products through responsible care, repair, resale, and recycling at the end of a garment’s life. For trade-ins, Worn Wear provides customers with a credit of up to $100 per item (whether or not the item sells) to be used at Patagonia retail stores, WornWear.com, and Patagonia.com. Among the first resale programs from brands, Worn Wear started in 2013 at Patagonia pop-up events and became a permanent program in 2017.

Home page of Worn Wear by Patagonia

Worn Wear by Patagonia

Like New is Lululemon’s trade-in program, which runs through resale technology provider Trove. The program allows customers to trade in used Lululemon clothing in exchange for an e-gift card to be used at the retail stores, online, or Likenew.lululemon.com. All profits on Like New go to the Apparel Impact Institute’s Fashion Climate Fund, with the goal of having an end-of-use solution for 100% of products by 2030. The program started in 2021 and expanded nationwide on Earth Day 2022.

Outerworn is a peer-to-peer resale marketplace for Outerknown, a sustainable clothing brand co-founded by surfing champion Kelly Slater. The brand’s mission, “For People & Planet,” is to make quality sustainable products that last a lifetime, keeping garments out of landfills. Launched in 2021, Outerworn enables the buying and selling of used pieces. Outerknown also pursues sustainability through socially responsible sourcing, organic materials, and upcycling textile waste.

Conscious Closet from Bergdorf Goodman is a service that extends the useful life of its customers’ luxury goods. The program has five focuses — edit, repair, alter, resell, and donate — and leverages a network of strategic partners and the retailer’s in-house services to assist clients at each stage. For the resell portion, Bergdorf Goodman has partnered with Fashionphile, a platform for pre-owned luxury accessories. The partnership offers customers circular services by enabling personal shoppers to facilitate the selling of clients’ luxury items in exchange for Bergdorf Goodman gift cards.

Home page of Conscious Closet by Bergdorf Goodman

Conscious Closet by Bergdorf Goodman

Carhartt Reworked is a trade-in program for the workwear and outdoor apparel maker. Powered by Trove, the resale site is dedicated to extending the life of workwear and keeping previously worn, slightly imperfect gear out of landfills. Carhartt Reworked accepts trade-ins by mail and in participating Carhartt retail stores. In the first 12 months of the resale site’s launch, Carhartt says it extended the life of over 43,000 garments and kept more than 68,000 products out of landfills.

Re/Supply is a used gear program that outdoor equipment co-op REI started in 2017, though it hosted “garage sales” for many years. Re/Supply offers members a more sustainable and affordable way to purchase gear and apparel. The program consists of items customers have returned or traded in. Members can trade in gently used gear for gift cards to help extend a product’s life for fellow members. REI estimates that buying a used item avoids 50% or more CO2 emissions from new product manufacturing.

Canada Goose Generations is the recommerce platform for Canada Goose, the maker of performance luxury outdoor apparel. The site is powered by Trove. Building on the brand’s mission of making quality outerwear, Generations keeps long-lasting Canada Goose products in circulation, giving them additional life by inviting customers to trade in. Generations supports the brand’s Sustainable Impact Strategy, helping to achieve its goal of achieving net zero emissions by 2025, reducing scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas emissions by 80% from its 2019 baseline.

Athleta Preloved is a partnership between fitness brand Athleta and resale platform provider ThredUp. Athleta Preloved offers gently used Athleta products at a discount. The site lists more than 30,000 resale products. Trade-in participants can earn Athleta credit for eligible items that sell in the listing window. Unsold items are reused or responsibly recycled. According to its website, approximately 525,000 Athleta clothing items have been recirculated and reused.

Home page of Athleta Preloved

Athleta Preloved

Toms (re)Wear Good is a program from shoe company Toms, in partnership with ThredUp, that sells gently used shoes and accessories and allows customers to turn used clothes into a Toms shopping credit. Customers wishing to resell items on the resale platform can request a free “clean out” label via Toms website. The service determines which items are eligible for consignment. For the items sold, sellers get an e-gift card to use at Toms.com. Items not eligible for consignment will be reused or responsibly recycled.

Tea Rewear is a popular resale marketplace from San Francisco-based children’s clothing company Tea Collection. The Tea Rewear site is powered by Kidizen, a resale marketplace for kids’ fashion and essentials. Participants can list and sell items or work with Style Scouts, local representatives for parents who have merchandise but don’t want to list and sell it themselves.

Ikea Preowned is a new second-hand online marketplace where customers can sell Ikea products to each other rather than third-party marketplaces. The seller posts listings on Ikea Preowned, and Ikea’s algorithms generate the details of the item, including size and the original retail price. Ikea Preowned is up and running in Madrid and Oslo. The company plans a global roll-out by December.

Hanna-Me-Downs is a peer-to-peer marketplace to buy and sell pre-owned Hanna Andersson products. The marketplace is powered by Archive, a resale service platform, and is a part of Hanna Andersson’s sustainability drives that include (i) sourcing organic cotton, (ii) moving all cotton to regenerative farming by 2025, (iii) producing collections with at least 50% recycled content, and (iv) creating durable products with heavier-weight cotton and colors that last.

Home page of Hanna-Me-Downs by Hanna Andersson

Hanna-Me-Downs by Hanna Andersson

Client Crash Bankrupts Entrepreneur

Resilience comes to mind when describing Hunter Durham. In eight years, he went from a college graduate to a Facebook employee to a company owner to bankruptcy.

Fortunately for us, he’s willing to share his experience. It’s a helpful case study on borrowing money, riding an ecommerce boom, and relying on a single client.

The entire audio of my conversation with Durham is embedded below. The transcript is edited for length and clarity.

Eric Bandholz: Tell us about your journey.

Hunter Durham: I filed for personal bankruptcy late last year. Since then I’ve helped a friend here in Puerto Rico launch a cocoa business. We raised a couple hundred thousand dollars in financing but ultimately decided the timing wasn’t right. So I’m now looking for my next role.

I’ve had multiple ecommerce and marketing positions. I was a college intern at Red Bull and then Dell in Austin. My first full-time job was at Microsoft during my senior year. I graduated in 2017 and landed at Facebook that year. I was on the advertising team managing ecommerce accounts.

It was a lot of fun. My clients included Johnsonville (sausages), Pacific Life (insurance), and roughly 50 other ecommerce brands. That was back when everything was pretty open on Facebook. I could see top-line revenue, how much they were spending on advertising, and their margins. I did that for about three years before joining one of my largest clients in 2019, a drop shipper out of Canada that has since gone out of business.

I stayed there for about seven months, then Covid hit, and ecommerce blew up. My experience came into heavy demand. I consulted with Sampars, the grocery wholesaler. That position became my agency, Impact Industry Marketing, which grew rapidly during the next few years.

During that time I bought three businesses in the furniture space. Two were shippers — we provided delivery services for furniture retailers. Then, last August, our largest customer ceased operations. They owed us in the high six figures in revenue. It forced me to file for bankruptcy late last year.

So I’m back to square one.

Bandholz: You lost your biggest customer.

Durham: The company was Mitchell Gold + Bob Williams — a giant high-end furniture manufacturer doing $180 million the year before they went out of business. They had been around for 25 years, with about 60 retail locations and an online presence.

When I bought the two shipping companies, Mitchell Gold represented 15% of our revenue, but by the time they shut down, it was 60%, or about $3 million a year. We serviced about 33% of their total shipping volume. When they shut down, our business died.

I had outstanding operating expenses, plus an SBA loan we had taken out to acquire the shipping companies. I couldn’t repay that loan, which I had personally guaranteed. That prompted the bankruptcy filing.

Bandholz: Could you elaborate on the bankruptcy process?

Durham: I had to learn a lot quickly. I had no clue. When we stopped getting paid, I started calling bankruptcy lawyers. It was a crash course.

Mitchell Gold started delaying payments in June 2023, and the company ceased operations in August. I spent the whole summer in crisis mode as it became apparent they would not pay us.

It was a matter of putting one foot in front of the other, letting employees go, and then engaging attorneys to start my bankruptcy.

Bankruptcy is an orderly process that unwinds many bad things. Chapter 11 bankruptcy is restructuring. It ironically costs a lot of money. For example, my bankruptcy attorney required a $250,000 retainer. Bankruptcy attorneys are the first to get paid.

Then you get a restructuring advisor paid for by the debtor (my company) but mandated by the bank. Chapter 7 is liquidation. It’s much cheaper than Chapter 11.

I had a couple of months of savings when I realized I had to file. Bankruptcy is a snapshot in time. It matters when you file and what you file. A bankruptcy lawyer figures that out.

Bandholz: All of that is now behind you. What’s next?

Durham: I’m still exploring. I may return to running an agency, perhaps focusing on clients’ creative and business strategies. Combining artificial intelligence with branded content seems promising.

Bandholz: We look forward to your next moves. Where can people follow you or reach out?

Durham: I’m on X, @Huntercdurham.

This startup is making coffee without coffee beans

DJ Tan, cofounder of the Singaporean startup Prefer Coffee, pops open a bottle of oat latte and pours some into my cup. The chilled drink feels wonderfully refreshing in Singapore’s heat—and it tastes just like coffee. And that’s impressive, because there isn’t a single ounce of coffee in it. 

It turns out that our beloved cup of joe may not be sustainable the way it’s produced now. Rising temperatures, droughts, floods, typhoons, and new diseases are endangering coffee crops. A 2022 study published in the journal PLOS One expects a general decline in land suitable for growing coffee by 2050. Modern coffee production involves clearing forests and uses a lot of water (as well as fertilizers and pesticides). It also consumes a lot of energy, generates greenhouse-gas emissions, and ruins native ecosystems. The situation “presents an existential crisis for the global coffee industry,” says Tan—and for all those who love their morning wake-up shot. 

Tan had an idea that could fix it: a “coffee” brewed entirely from leftovers of the local food industry. 

For a few years before starting Prefer, Tan was working in the food industry with Singapore’s top chefs. His clients were in search of new flavors, which he created using fermentation—feeding various organic substances to microbes. Humans have been using microorganisms to create foods for ages: microbes and yeast produce some of our favorite foods and drinks, like yogurt, kimchi, beer, and kombucha. But Tan was pushing the process in new directions. “Fermentation is a way to create flavors that don’t exist,” he says. 

In 2022, at a local startup accelerator in Singapore, Tan met Jake Berber, a neuroscientist turned entrepreneur. Both men were coffee lovers, and they joined forces to create a beanless drink. In doing so, they joined a growing movement of upcyclers who believe that we can reduce our footprint by putting food leftovers back onto our plates after making them appealing and palatable once again. 

They spent months experimenting with various ingredients. “From my previous work, I had an inkling of what might work,” says Tan, but narrowing it down to the exact proportions, processes, and types of leftovers took a while. They tried roasting chicory root, which had been used as a coffee substitute before, but while the result was reminiscent of coffee, the taste wasn’t close enough. They tried grinding date seeds, which yielded a fruity tea-like drink, a far cry from coffee. Then some batches brewed from mixtures of food leftovers showed promise. They used gas chromatography mass spectrometry, a technique that identifies individual molecular compounds in mixtures, to identify and analyze the molecules responsible for the desired taste. The results guided them in tweaking new iterations of the brew. After a few months and several hundred different mixes and methods, they zeroed in on the right combination: stale bread from bakeries, soybean pulp from tofu making, and spent barley grains from local breweries. “We combine them in roughly equal amounts, ferment for 24 hours, and then roast,” Tan says. Out comes a naturally caffeine-­free “coffee” that can be enjoyed with plant-based or regular milk. Or added to a martini—local bartenders jumped on the novelty. Without milk, the drink “tastes a little more chocolatey and retains the notes of herbaceous bitterness,” according to Tan. Price-wise it’s comparable to your average coffee, Berber says. Prefer sells a powder to be brewed like any other coffee, as well as bottled cold brew and bottled latte. The products can be bought online and ordered at various Singaporean cafés.  

For those who want their kick, the startup adds caffeine powder from tea leaves. On a warming planet, tea plants are a better bet, Tan explains: “You’re harvesting the leaves, which are a lot more plentiful than the coffee berries.” 

Prefer ferments and then roasts its upcycled mixture (right). They also have started selling bottled products online (left).
PREFER

Currently, Prefer Coffee sells its brew in Singapore only, but it hopes to expand to other places while still upcycling local waste. In the Philippines, for example, leftover cassava, sugarcane, or pineapple might be used, Tan says. Although adjustments will have to be made, the company’s fermentation process should be able to deliver something similarly coffee-like: “Our technology doesn’t rely on soy, bread, and barley but tries to use whatever is available.” ν

Journalist Lina Zeldovich is the author of The Living Medicine: How a Lifesaving Cure Was Nearly Lost and Why It Will Rescue Us When Antibiotics Fail, to be published by St. Martin’s in October 2024.

5 Predictions for the 2024 Holiday Shopping Season

Get ready for a short and competitive 2024 Christmas shopping season as mobile devices, the election, email, and social commerce take center stage.

What follows are five holiday-shopping predictions, input from AI, and a report card of my forecasts last year.

54% on Mobile

In 2023, slightly more than half of U.S. online purchases from November 1 and December 25 came from mobile devices, accounting for approximately $113.5 billion, according to Adobe. This year, mobile will represent 54% of holiday ecommerce sales.

Three factors drive the growth: age, marketplaces, and buy-now pay-later options.

First, there is the age factor. Gen Z shoppers (ages 18 to 25) are more likely to purchase from a mobile device, and some 15% of Gen Z consumers buy directly from social media sites, according to Emarketer. Social commerce is mobile-friendly, doubling the impact.

Second, Amazon and other massive marketplaces accounted for more than half of holiday sales last year. These marketplaces offer native mobile apps that make shopping from a smartphone effortless.

Third, BNPL is increasingly popular for Christmas purchases. It’s often associated with relatively large retailers and marketplaces, which may offer a better mobile shopping experience.

5% Increase in Ecommerce

Early predictions from Emarketer, ecommerce platform makers, and others had the 2024 Christmas shopping season growing to $271 billion, a 23% increase from the $222.1 billion in 2023.

That is too optimistic, given the contentious U.S. election, inflation, and other economic woes. I’m predicting a 5% increase this year.

Email Volume Grows 25%

In 2024, we will continue to see growth in email marketing.

For example, last year Sinch Mailgun, which provides email infrastructure services, reported a 16% year-over-year increase in email volume for the Black Friday to Cyber Monday weekend. For all of November 2023, the volume rose 22% over the prior year.

The Christmas shopping season is relatively short in 2024 — just 29 days — which could make digital advertising more competitive and expensive. Marketers will turn to email to boost sales.

40% of Gen Zs Use Social

A recent survey of Gen Z shoppers found that about four in 10 will use some form of social commerce during the 2024 Christmas shopping season.

TikTok Shop, launched in September 2023, generated $11.9 billion in gross merchandise volume in 2023. TikTok does not typically share performance results, but it is reasonable to assume growth. Add the increase on other platforms, and social commerce in 2024 could be significant.

BNPL 9% of Retail Sales

For the second consecutive year, I predict that BNPL will represent 9% of total U.S. online holiday sales.

I overestimated last year’s BNPL growth, which was 7.4%. However, a recent Experian survey found that about 25% of American consumers plan to use BNPL this year. Thus I’ll stick with 9% growth for 2024.

Moreover, the ratio of in-store to ecommerce sales is leveling out. In 2023, ecommerce represented 34% of U.S. holiday sales, up one percentage point from the prior year. Brick-and-click retailers will find more ways to get shopping into physical locations. One of those ways is to promote BNPL offers in-store.

AI Predictions

After completing my list of five 2024 holiday predictions, I asked three generative artificial intelligence tools to do the same, using this prompt:

“Based on historical data and recent projections, make five bold predictions about the 2024 holiday shopping season for an audience of retail and ecommerce professionals.”

ChatGPT 4.o (by Open AI)

Home page of ChatGPT 4

ChatGPT 4 by OpenAI

  • Expect social commerce to account for nearly 20% of all online holiday transactions.
  • Sustainability will become a critical factor for consumers during the 2024 holiday season. Expect a 25% increase in sales for retailers offering carbon-neutral shipping, recyclable packaging, and sustainably sourced products.
  • Omnichannel fulfillment will dominate, with same-day delivery as the norm.
  • Mobile shopping will outpace desktop and in-store experiences, with more than 70% of holiday ecommerce transactions occurring on smartphones.

Grok-2 Beta (by X)

Home page of Grok-2 beta

Grok-2 Beta by X

  • Mobile commerce will dominate. Over 60% of all ecommerce transactions during the holiday season will occur on mobile devices, driven by enhanced mobile payment solutions and an increase in mobile-first consumer behavior.
  • Social commerce will rise. Retailers who integrate seamless in-app purchasing experiences could see up to a 30% increase in sales directly through social media.
  • Despite the holiday season being structurally shorter, the intensity of shopping activities will spike earlier and more sharply. Retailers will start their holiday promotions as early as late October, with a significant emphasis on pre-Black Friday deals.
  • AI personalization and predictive shopping will blossom. Retailers will use AI to not only suggest products but to predict what consumers might want before they explicitly search for it, potentially increasing conversion rates by offering personalized “surprise and delight” deals. This could lead to AI influencing over 25% of online holiday purchases.
  • With increasing awareness about environmental issues, sustainability will become a significant factor in purchasing decisions.

Gemini (by Google)

Home page of Gemini

Gemini by Google

  • We’ll see mobile devices account for over 60% of all online holiday shopping traffic and close to 50% of total online sales.
  • AI-powered personalization will go mainstream, with retailers using customer data and predictive analytics to create highly targeted product recommendations, offers, and experiences.
  • Social media platforms will become major players in the holiday shopping landscape.
  • Sustainability drives purchase decisions. Consumer awareness of environmental and social issues will reach new heights, with shoppers increasingly choosing brands and products that align with their values.
  • Supply chain disruptions will continue. Despite efforts to mitigate disruptions, ongoing challenges like port congestion, labor shortages, and material scarcity will persist, impacting product availability and pricing.

Last Year’s Predictions

Since 2013 I have predicted ecommerce trends and sales for the coming holiday season. Here’s how my 2023 forecast went.

Holiday spending grows less than 5% — correct. The National Retail Federation put total holiday sales growth at 3.8% in 2023. Emarketer set the 2023 holiday season growth rate at 3.9% while others had it as high as 4.9%, which was below the 5% prediction. By comparison, in 2022 year-over-year U.S. holiday spending grew 8.1%.

Buy-now pay-later accounts for 9% of retail sales — wrong. While the number of BNPL transactions grew 14% last year, they totaled just $16.6 billion, according to Adobe Analytics — 7.4% of sales.

Discounting drives sales — correct. This prediction was easy, with some estimates concluding that 60% of Christmas orders in 2023 had at least one sale item. Emarketer put it this way, “Deep discounts drove consumer spending across the Cyber Five in 2023.”

Shoppers wait for those discounts — correct. While U.S. Veteran’s Day (November 11) sales remained relatively flat from 2022 to 2023, Black Friday retail sales enjoyed a 7.5% year-over-year increase, and ecommerce leaped about 19%. Shoppers waited for the Black Friday and Cyber Monday discounts.

Generative AI impacts product discovery — unknown. This prediction is difficult to measure. I could not find data on how generative search results had impacted holiday purchase behavior.

Charts: Productivity through Automation

Increasing productivity is critical for businesses to stay competitive. Automation can streamline processes, lower human error, and free up staff for strategic projects.

Already, generative AI is a differentiator. Bain & Company’s June 2024 “Automation Scorecard” reported the findings from the firm’s survey of 893 global executives on using gen AI to save costs and drive productivity.

The report segregated responses into two categories: “leaders” plan to invest nearly four times more in generative AI than “laggards.”

Artificial intelligence and machine learning can spot patterns and trends humans might overlook, enabling quicker and more informed decision-making. According to PwC’s January 2024 “Global CEO Survey,” CEOs expect generative AI to substantially improve productivity, revenue, and bottom-line profits.

The Bain & Company report addressed company-wide automation in areas such as human resources, finance, marketing, and sales — citing potential time savings in marketing initiatives, sales follow-ups, and payroll processing. Accordingly, over 60% of “Leaders” and “Laggards” plan to “significantly” or “somewhat” increase automation investments in the next 12 months.

Automation helps companies of all sizes, not just global enterprise brands. A May 2024 survey from Brightpearl by Sage, an ecommerce software provider, addressed potential gains in automation when it queried roughly 1,000 employees of U.S. retailers — online and brick-and-mortar with annual revenue of $1 million to $100 million. On average, respondents spent approximately six hours per week on manual, repetitive tasks, impacting their overall productivity.

Beardbrand Perseveres Amid Challenges

I host “Ecommerce Conversations” while running Beardbrand, my direct-to-consumer provider of men’s grooming supplies. Periodically I’ll divert an episode to share the details of my business in the hope it helps others. I’ve done that three times in the last year, a challenging period for many ecommerce companies, including mine.

I’ve addressed our initial sales decline, plans for recovery, and, most recently, a year-end recap.

In this episode, I’ll discuss our recent changes at Beardbrand to persevere for better times.

The full audio of my dialog is embedded below. The transcript is edited for clarity and length.

Logistics

Since my last update, we’ve focused on lowering costs. One significant initiative was moving to a new 3PL to get closer to our new manufacturer. The goal was to shorten the time from the completion of manufacturing to shipping products to customers. We’ve been consolidating our manufacturing to one provider, which should help tighten the supply chain.

Our new manufacturer is in the U.S. Midwest. Our 3PL was in Dallas, Texas. We could have shifted fulfillment to the new manufacturer, which offers that service. Instead we opted for another 3PL, one that’s closer to the manufacturing facility.

The direct fulfillment cost would have been roughly the same for the manufacturer or the new 3PL. We chose the latter mainly because the initial setup would be quicker.

The transition from our previous to the new 3PL went pretty well. There were some hiccups, but I’ve got a good team member who managed the process well. We’ll wait to determine how much savings, if any, the new 3PL achieves.

ADA Lawsuit

Beardbrand has been dealing with an ADA lawsuit for allegedly having an inaccessible ecommerce site. Many industry colleagues recommended that we settle and move on. I couldn’t do that on principle. The plaintiff was suing 50 companies simultaneously and never reached out to us to respond to its complaints. The plaintiff falsely claimed we had no alt tags on images, for example. It was a money grab, and I didn’t want to reward that behavior.

Settling the lawsuit might save money, but it has downsides. If all entrepreneurs and operators fought bogus lawsuits and lawyers rather than settling, the problem would lessen. By settling, we encourage them to continue. If you have the means to fight the lawsuit, do it. We’re going to fight it.

Sales

Sales continue to be soft. We’re in our slow season — around September, it typically starts to improve. Meta has historically been our main customer acquisition channel, but our efforts there lately have been mostly unsuccessful.

Last week, we brought on X as a marketing platform. We’ll see how it performs.

We’re launching new products to counter the slowdown. We have a new, natural, aluminum-free deodorant in the works. Hopefully, it’ll be available by the end of the year. We’ll also be releasing new products on Amazon. I have a lot of ideas for new products, but we’re focusing on one of our core areas of expertise: small-batch fragrance development.

The raw materials costs for some of our products have gone through the roof. It’s forcing us to decide whether to raise prices to customers or reformulate the products. We’ve always developed products based purely on quality. I’m questioning that approach for the first time in 12 years, asking myself if an ingredient is worth the premium investment. My answer is no. We have to evolve. We’ll test, get prototypes to our customers, and see if they meet their expectations. If not, we will explore the higher price point.

YouTube

Traffic to Bearbrand’s videos on YouTube has declined. Since about 2019, we’ve seen a dramatic drop in organic views. We’ve devised new approaches. We now have two channels, and we’re tweaking how we film. Nothing seems to work. Our videos no longer seem to resonate with our audience or the algorithm. We’ve had several good hits on YouTube Shorts, Instagram, and TikTok, but they don’t build the same affinity with our audience as long-form versions.

We now plan to host regular livestreams to get back to the basics of connecting authentically with our audience. That sort of direct communication with customers is critical. I’m excited to get it going.

Moving Forward

Despite our challenges over the past two years, I am encouraged and optimistic about our changes. A business needs to be sustainable. It has to make money. Dealing with shrinking sales is no fun, but entrepreneurs do not get to choose their problems. We prioritize, align resources, and move forward. That’s how we succeed over the long term.

Mystic Gum Sees Early DTC Success

Braxton Manley first appeared on the podcast in 2021. As a college student, he had launched Braxley Bands, a maker of Apple Watch bands. Last year he returned with an update on that business after operational and sales challenges.

He’s back, having launched his latest company, Mystic, a direct-to-consumer maker of health-focused chewing gum. In our recent conversation, we discuss the origins of Mystic, marketing plans, early successes, and more.

The entire audio is embedded below. The transcript is edited for length and clarity.

Eric Bandholz: How’s business?

Braxton Manley: Braxley Bands, our Apple Watch band company, is surviving in a challenging climate. We’re operating from a profit-first mentality. We grow as much as possible and, based on the prior month’s profit-and-loss statement, scale back if needed. It’s multiple scale-ups, then pull-backs. My brother Zach and I run the business, working remotely. We haven’t taken a salary in a while and are focused on the business’s long-term stability.

I’m involved with three direct-to-consumer ecommerce businesses now. My fiance, Maddie, started Peace Love Hormones about three years ago. It’s a direct-to-consumer supplement brand for women’s hormone health. I have an executive role there, functioning as CEO so that Maddie can pursue her doctorate in herbal medicine and focus on the product. I focus on the marketing and operations.

Our third business, Mystic, just launched. It’s chewing gum for women made with sap from a mastic tree, which grows on a Greek island and has a ton of health benefits.

We’re trying to build a family holding company to operate multiple DTC businesses. At this point, they’re all relatively humble — six and seven figures in annual revenue.

Bandholz: Tell me about Mystic.

Manley: It’s square chunks of organic gum. It costs $38 for a can. It’s a beauty product for women and is categorized that way on TikTok. It’s different from regular gum. It’s not sweet at all. It’s palate-cleansing. It relieves indigestion and promotes oral health. You can develop an appreciation for the flavor.

The business is six months old. We’ve been fulfilling orders for just a week. The beginning stage was figuring out what the logo would look like. We did a beta test last year. We invested about $3,000 and ended up selling $20,000 worth. We realized we had a viable product.

We then raised $90,000 from friends and family. We developed custom packaging and produced 5,000 gum units — enough to make our first $200,000 in revenue.

Bandholz: How are you marketing the product?

Manley: Well, we’re a week into fulfilling orders. So it is fresh. We’ve spent much time on a TikTok Shop. We believe TikTok is a good product fit.

Affiliates are important to us too. Maddie, my finance, is an Instagram creator in the health and wellness space. She has an incredible community, which produced our first Mystic orders — about $5,000 in revenue. By Q4, we’ll be doing six figures monthly. This can scale quickly.

We sell recurring orders, but we’re not using the terms “subscribers” or “subscriptions.” Instead, we sell memberships to a gum-chewing club. We have cool hats, a club logo, and patches. The idea is to build a culture. We will charge more for our first subscription and less for renewals. It’s $38 for a one-time order or $30 to join the club for recurring shipments.

Bandholz: Where can people buy the gum and follow you?

Manley: Go to MysticGum.com. You can follow me on X, @Braxtonmanley, or LinkedIn.

Brilliance CEO on Acquiring a Food Manufacturer

Lori McDonald is the founder and CEO of Brilliance Business Solutions, a prominent B2B ecommerce development firm. As of February 2024, she’s also the owner of a specialty food manufacturer called Norsland Lefse.

Why would a busy web development executive acquire a direct-to-consumer producer? I asked her that question and more in our recent conversation. The entire audio is embedded below. The transcript is edited for clarity and length.

Kerry Murdock: You’re the CEO of a leading ecommerce development company. Why acquire a food manufacturer?

Lori McDonald: We specialize in working with mid-market manufacturers and distributors. We purchased a small manufacturing company to diversify how we make money and to understand our customers better.

It’s been a great learning experience for me and the Brilliance team. We’re just getting started.

The business is called Norsland Lefse. It’s smaller than our target development customers, but it still provides insight and empathy into what our clients experience daily. We closed on the deal in February 2024.

Murdock: Tell us about Norsland.

McDonald: Norsland Lefse is a 40-year-old specialty food manufacturer and distributor in Rushford, Minnesota. Our main product is Lefse, a Norwegian flatbread similar to a potato-based tortilla.

We also make Uffda! Chips, which is a crisp and fried byproduct of Lefse. We also resell other Norwegian and Scandinavian products.

Norsland has about 20 employees. Most are part-time. We’re a little more than $1 million in annual revenue across 270 SKUs. The majority of our sales are on Amazon. We also have a direct-to-consumer ecommerce site, NorslandLefse.com.

The company was small enough that we could afford it, with revenue from ecommerce.

Murdock: Shipping food sounds complicated.

McDonald: It’s been another learning experience! Most of our products are perishable. Lefse is perishable — we don’t add preservatives — as are other items. We store them in freezers and refrigerators. We ship FedEx 2Day with ice packs on most orders. Shipping speed and operational efficiency are critical.

Murdock: You’re an expert in ecommerce platforms and backend systems. What is Norsland’s setup?

McDonald: We don’t have much technology in place, but it’s coming. We manually sync inventory and orders on Amazon. We use XPS Ship to manage shipping; it integrates with Amazon.

We moved our ecommerce site from Wix to BigCommerce, a Brilliance partner. We completed the migration in just three months. It has given us many new capabilities. We also redesigned the site and made it mobile-friendly.

The Brilliance team handled the replatform and design work. I was on the client side, which was fun and educational. I was the customer.

We’re making progress, but we still have a big to-do list.

Murdock: What are the surprises thus far?

McDonald: Right away we did a profitability review of the products on Amazon. We were losing money on some items. I learned how easy it is to lose money on Amazon without realizing it.

We have a lot more orders coming from Amazon than our own site. Growing sales directly on NorslandLefse.com has been a goal from day one. The margins are better, but implementation is challenging. That’s been an eye-opener too.

Our clients at Brilliance could have thousands of SKUs. We have just 270 at Norsland. I now appreciate the complexity of managing margins for many items across different channels.

I’m also more aware of merchants’ daily operational tasks and components. We might have equipment breaking, staff turnover, inventory glitches, supplier price increases — so many things are happening. At Brilliance, working with clients, we perceive our work to be important. But I see now how our clients have much more to worry about.

Murdock: You’ve alluded to plans and goals. Could you address some of them?

McDonald: We’re not looking to expand SKUs. In some ways, less is more. Our two key products are Lefse and Uffda! Chips. We need to ensure we’re marketing and selling those well. We may offer a Lefse subscription so folks can order and have it delivered year-round.

We partnered from the start with Ox Optimal, a digital marketing firm. Brilliance focuses on the technical build and design of a site. Ox Optimal provides expertise in email marketing and Facebook and Google ads.

Murdock: We’re looking forward to following your progress. How can listeners reach you or buy some Lefse?

McDonald: BrillianceWeb.com is our development firm. Norsland Lefse is at NorslandLefse.com. I’m on LinkedIn.

Successful Entrepreneurs Don’t Overthink

Corey Wilks is a clinical psychologist turned business coach. He helps entrepreneurs and creators improve their mindset and overcome self-imposed obstacles. He says a common obstacle is overthinking a problem. Others involve perfectionism, doubt, and even fear.

In our recent conversation, he addressed those mental hurdles and more. The entire audio is embedded below. The transcript is edited for clarity and length.

Eric Bandholz: Tell our listeners who you are.

Corey Wilks: I am a licensed clinical psychologist specializing in cognitive behavior therapy, the practice of helping folks overcome unhealthy thinking. I now coach entrepreneurs and creators to build a values-aligned life and business and overcome beliefs holding them back.

I write a lot of articles on my website and for Psychology Today. I’ve appeared on a couple of prominent podcasts.

I received an early coaching boost from Ali Abdaal. He’s a prominent productivity expert, YouTuber, and entrepreneur. He put out a 45-minute video about the eight things he struggled with in life and business. It was exactly what I help people with, so I dropped everything and, in a day, wrote an article on how I would approach his pain points.

I posted it on X, and enough people shared it that he finally saw it. We worked together for about six months. I didn’t know him before then.

Many good things have happened since then. When I see somebody struggling with something, I send them either a video or an article that might help. If they want to work with me, that’s cool. If not, they still have that resource to check back on.

Bandholz: What does your coaching look like?

Wilks: Being a psychologist, all of my work is around mindset and prioritizing strategies. Common obstacles of entrepreneurs are limiting beliefs and personal narratives. Most of us know what we want or how to get what we want, but we second-guess ourselves and listen to what others think. We question our intelligence or worthiness of success.

Many entrepreneurs struggle with self-doubt and perfectionism. They blame a lack of money, resources, and intelligence for not getting the things they claim to want. But that is very rarely the case, especially with how accessible information is online.

They talk about it, but they never take action. And that typically comes down to fear. So much of my work with business owners is about identifying and overcoming these limiting beliefs or clarifying what matters. We then figure out where the disconnect is.

Bandholz: What’s your advice to people with expectations that exceed their capabilities?

Wilks: Intelligence after a certain point can be a hindrance because you overthink everything. Entrepreneurship is about identifying problems and creating solutions. Smart people are good at solving problems. But there are an infinite number of problems, and it’s easy to get paralyzed.

I know many more successful entrepreneurs who are intelligent but do not necessarily have a high IQ. They don’t overthink. Plenty of mediocre people are high performers because they’re not overthinking. That’s a big thing.

Bandholz: I’m curious why you left psychology.

Wilks: I got fired from my job as a behavioral health provider — a psychologist. I specialized in addiction treatment, working in rural West Virginia. I had peak job security. During Covid, I accepted a remote telehealth position in Kentucky. Two months into that new contract, I got an email stating I was fired in 30 days.

In the U.S., the patient has to reside in the state where the therapist is licensed. I’m licensed in West Virginia, not Kentucky. I couldn’t find another remote job out of West Virginia and wasn’t willing to move back.

Getting licensed in Kentucky would have taken four to six months. It’s a lot of red tape. I had 30 days and three paychecks to figure out my life. I spent 12 years getting my doctorate, and I couldn’t practice therapy anymore. What do I do with my life? I had to take all this knowledge and apply it to something else.

I got certified as an executive coach, which is like a four-letter word among therapists. Coaching is unregulated. A 14-year-old with a TikTok can call himself a life coach.

I decided to pursue coaching because the therapy world defines wellness as the absence of illness. Coaching is about helping healthy people flourish, thrive, and reach their potential.

I had to learn how to set up a business and create a WordPress site. I did a lot of Googling and YouTubeing. I met some kind and helpful entrepreneurs on X. We became friends. They took me under their wing and showed me the ropes.

I’ve taught myself. I produce valuable content to help folks attract friends and customers. I tell people to just start and then iterate.

Bandholz: Where can people follow you and learn more?

Wilks: My site is CoreyWilksPsyD.com. I’m @CoreyWilksPsyD on X, or add me on LinkedIn.